Trend research
A method for detecting, organizing and explaining changes in behaviors, values and consumption, and anticipating how they may affect a product, brand or service.
What it’s for
It helps you avoid designing only for the present and arriving late to what is changing.
Key elements
A signal is not a trend
A trend appears when several signals point to the same change.
Explain the why
What need or value drives it and who it affects.
Cross-check sources
Street, media and data, so you don’t rely on just one.
How it’s done
Gather signals.
Group them into a trend map.
Translate them into design opportunities.
Applications in design
When to use it
To guide a brand or product strategy in the medium term.
Avoid
Mistaking a passing fad for a trend.
Don’t fall for it
In each trend, separate what is data from what is intuition.
Connections
Builds on
Authors and works
- 2010
Martin Raymond
Brought together the techniques of trend analysis: observing, cross-checking sources and explaining change.
Sources
Secondary sources
- Raymond, M. (2010). The trend forecaster's handbook. Laurence King.
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